# Malaysian Political Topics Analysis
**Date:** 10 January 2026

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## Executive Summary

The Malaysian political landscape this week is dominated by **internal party conflicts** and **leadership struggles** across the opposition and ruling coalitions. Key developments include:

1. **Bersatu internal purge** - Saifuddin Abdullah's expulsion and disciplinary actions against division chiefs linked to Hamzah Zainudin's faction
2. **UMNO Youth crisis** - Dr Akmal Saleh's controversial push to leave the unity government and potential resignation drama
3. **PN leadership vacuum** - Ongoing debate about who will succeed Muhyiddin as Perikatan Nasional chairman
4. **Sabah by-elections** - Nomination day for Kinabatangan and Lamag seats with three-cornered and straight fights respectively
5. **Tun Dr Mahathir's health** - The 100-year-old former PM hospitalized with a fractured hip
6. **PM term limit reform** - Government moves forward with legislation to cap PM tenure at 10 years

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## Top Political Topics

### 1. Bersatu Internal Crisis: Saifuddin Abdullah Expulsion

Bersatu expelled former Foreign Minister **Saifuddin Abdullah** on 6 January, with the party citing disciplinary violations. The expulsion has sparked controversy within the party:

- Saifuddin claims he was denied a fair hearing and chance to confront Muhyiddin
- Analysts say the move aims to reduce influence of **Hamzah Zainudin's faction**
- Bersatu Indera Mahkota (Saifuddin's division) has publicly expressed regret at the "unjust" sacking
- Six Perak division chiefs who demanded Muhyiddin resign have been called up by the disciplinary board

**Key Headlines:**
- [Bersatu sacks Saifuddin Abdullah](https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/765019) (6 Jan)
- [Bersatu Indera Mahkota kesal pemecatan Saifuddin](https://www.sinarharian.com.my/article/763460/berita/politik/bersatu-indera-mahkota-kesal-pemecatan-saifuddin) (10 Jan)
- [Saifuddin claims Bersatu denied him fair trial, chance to confront Muhyiddin](https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/765071) (7 Jan)
- [Bersatu leaders sacked, suspended to reduce Hamzah's influence, say analysts](https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/nation/2026/01/08/bersatu-leaders-sacked-suspended-to-reduce-hamzahs-influence-say-analysts) (8 Jan)
- [Desak Muhyiddin letak jawatan: 6 Ketua Bahagian Bersatu terima surat lembaga disiplin](https://www.sinarharian.com.my/article/763433/berita/politik/desak-muhyiddin-letak-jawatan-6-ketua-bahagian-bersatu-terima-surat-lembaga-disiplin) (9 Jan)

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### 2. UMNO Youth Drama: Akmal's Call to Leave Unity Government

UMNO Youth chief **Dr Akmal Saleh** has stirred controversy by proposing UMNO leave the unity government (Kerajaan Madani) and partner with PAS instead. The situation has evolved into a resignation drama:

- Akmal urged UMNO to "not fear being in opposition"
- UMNO President Ahmad Zahid firmly rejected the proposal, saying BN will remain with the unity government
- Johor UMNO Youth leaders advised Akmal to accept the political reality
- Speculation swirled about Akmal resigning, but UMNO Secretary-General Asyraf Wajdi confirmed no resignation letter received
- Akmal will announce his position at the UMNO General Assembly next week

**Key Headlines:**
- ['Jangan takut jadi pembangkang' - Akmal gesa Umno tinggalkan k'jaan perpaduan](https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/764810) (3 Jan)
- [BN tolak 'tebuk atap', kekal bersama Kerajaan Perpaduan - Ahmad Zahid](https://www.sinarharian.com.my/article/762950/berita/politik/bn-tolak-tebuk-atap-kekal-bersama-kerajaan-perpaduan---ahmad-zahid) (6 Jan)
- [Accept rejection, Johor Umno Youth chief advises Akmal](https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/765075) (7 Jan)
- [Akmal to resign as Umno Youth chief, Merlimau rep?](https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/765229) (9 Jan)
- [Akmal not resigning as Umno Youth chief](https://www.nst.com.my/news/nation/2026/01/1353587/akmal-not-resigning-umno-youth-chief) (9 Jan)
- [Akmal to announce his position in party, Melaka govt at Umno AGM](https://www.nst.com.my/news/nation/2026/01/1353901/akmal-announce-his-position-party-melaka-govt-umno-agm) (10 Jan)

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### 3. Perikatan Nasional Leadership Battle

Following Muhyiddin Yassin's offer to resign as PN chairman, the coalition faces a leadership vacuum with conflicting positions:

- **PAS faction** insists the chair must go to an ulama leader - either Hadi Awang or Tuan Ibrahim Tuan Man
- Terengganu MB **Ahmad Samsuri Mokhtar** emerged as a potential candidate after meeting with Muhyiddin
- Some analysts suggest the meeting had Hadi's blessing
- Bersatu's supreme council has yet to formally accept Muhyiddin's resignation
- Analysts warn of internal plots to block Samsuri's candidacy

**Key Headlines:**
- [Is Dr Ahmad Samsuri the next PN chief?](https://www.nst.com.my/news/nation/2026/01/1351515/dr-ahmad-samsuri-next-pn-chief) (6 Jan)
- [Muhyiddin-Samsuri meeting had Hadi's blessing, says PAS MP](https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/764999) (6 Jan)
- [PN chair must be Hadi or Tuan Ibrahim, says PAS leader](https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/765267) (9 Jan)
- [PAS finalises candidate for PN chief but questions linger](https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/765165) (8 Jan)
- [Supreme council yet to accept Muhyiddin's resignation](https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2026/01/10/supreme-council-yet-to-accept-muhyiddins-resignation) (10 Jan)
- [Plot brewing to stop Samsuri from heading PN?](https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/nation/2026/01/10/plot-brewing-to-stop-samsuri-from-heading-pn) (10 Jan)

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### 4. Sabah By-Elections: Kinabatangan & Lamag

Nomination day was held today (10 January) for two crucial Sabah by-elections:

**Kinabatangan (Parliament):**
- Three-cornered fight: BN vs Warisan vs Independent
- BN candidate: Datuk Mohd Naim (former MB Seri Gading)
- Previously held by the late Datuk Mohamad Alamin (Bersatu)

**Lamag (State Assembly):**
- Straight fight: BN vs Warisan
- Falls under Kinabatangan parliamentary constituency

**Key Headlines:**
- [Three-cornered fight for Kinabatangan seat, straight contest for Lamag](https://www.nst.com.my/news/regional/2026/01/1353849/updated-three-cornered-fight-kinabatangan-seat-straight-contest-lamag) (10 Jan)
- [PRK Parlimen Kinabatangan, DUN Lamag buka tirai esok](https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/765218) (9 Jan)
- [BN vows political stability, continued development in Kinabatangan, Lamag](https://www.nst.com.my/news/regional/2026/01/1353869/bn-vows-political-stability-continued-development-kinabatangan-lamag) (10 Jan)
- [Federal Court denies Bersatu's bid to challenge Sabah parliamentary seat rulings](https://www.thevibes.com/articles/news/117993/federal-court-denies-bersatus-bid-to-challenge-sabah-parliamentary-seat-rulings) (9 Jan)

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### 5. Tun Dr Mahathir's Health

Former Prime Minister Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad (100 years old) was hospitalized at Institut Jantung Negara (IJN) after a fall at home:

- Suffered a fractured right hip
- Doctors advised against surgery; will undergo physiotherapy instead
- Family says the injury is serious but not life-threatening
- Turkish President Erdogan expressed concern during PM Anwar's visit to Turkiye
- Mahathir seeking adjournment of his lawsuit against Anwar due to hospitalization

**Key Headlines:**
- [Tun Dr Mahathir hospitalised at IJN](https://www.thevibes.com/articles/news/117854/tun-dr-mahathir-hospitalised-at-ijn) (6 Jan)
- [Tun Dr Mahathir disahkan mengalami patah tulang pada bahagian pinggul kanan](https://b.cari.com.my/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=5525601) (7 Jan)
- [Doctors advise against surgery for Dr M's fractured hip](https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/nation/2026/01/07/doctors-advise-against-surgery-for-dr-ms-fractured-hip) (7 Jan)
- [Dr M to undergo physio for fractured hip, no surgery](https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/nation/2026/01/10/dr-m-to-undergo-physio-for-fractured-hip-no-surgery) (10 Jan)
- [Erdogan expresses concern over Dr Mahathir's health during Anwar's Turkiye visit](https://www.malaymail.com/news/malaysia/2026/01/09/erdogan-expresses-concern-over-dr-mahathirs-health-during-anwars-turkiye-visit/204722) (9 Jan)

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### 6. PM Term Limit Reform

The government announced plans to table a bill limiting the Prime Minister's tenure to 10 years (maximum two terms):

- PM Anwar Ibrahim proposed the reform as part of the Madani reform agenda
- Bersih welcomed the move as strengthening democratic institutions
- Minister Azalina to meet political party leaders to discuss the bill
- Some analysts warn it could deprive the nation of capable leaders
- Debate on whether the limit should apply to state MBs as well

**Key Headlines:**
- [Bersih sambut baik keputusan Anwar perkenalkan had penggal PM](https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/764914) (5 Jan)
- [RUU pemisahan pendakwa raya-AG, had penggal PM dibentang tahun ini](https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/764883) (5 Jan)
- [Analysts: PM term limit will ensure fresh ideas, political stability](https://www.nst.com.my/news/nation/2026/01/1351906/analysts-pm-term-limit-will-ensure-fresh-ideas-political-stability) (6 Jan)
- [RUU had tempoh jawatan PM: Kerajaan adakan perjumpaan dengan ketua parti politik - Azalina](https://www.sinarharian.com.my/article/762875/berita/nasional/ruu-had-tempoh-jawatan-pm-kerajaan-adakan-perjumpaan-dengan-ketua-parti-politik---azalina) (5 Jan)
- [Chong: 10-year PM term limit a crucial systemic check on power](https://www.theborneopost.com/2026/01/07/chong-10-year-pm-term-limit-a-crucial-systemic-check-on-power/) (7 Jan)

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## Political Article Trends (Last 14 Days)

| Date | Political Articles |
|------|-------------------|
| 10 Jan 2026 | 155 (partial day) |
| 9 Jan 2026 | 1,272 |
| 8 Jan 2026 | 1,350 |
| 7 Jan 2026 | 1,277 |
| 6 Jan 2026 | 1,422 |
| 5 Jan 2026 | 1,330 |
| 4 Jan 2026 | 902 |
| 3 Jan 2026 | 908 |
| 2 Jan 2026 | 953 |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 842 |
| 31 Dec 2025 | 1,126 |
| 30 Dec 2025 | 1,441 |
| 29 Dec 2025 | 1,189 |
| 28 Dec 2025 | 979 |

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## Key Political Figures Mentioned

| Name | Role | Context |
|------|------|---------|
| **Ahmad Zahid Hamidi** | UMNO President, DPM | Rejected Akmal's proposal to leave unity govt |
| **Dr Akmal Saleh** | UMNO Youth Chief | Controversial call to leave Madani, possible resignation |
| **Muhyiddin Yassin** | Bersatu President, former PM | Offered to resign as PN chair; disciplinary actions against critics |
| **Saifuddin Abdullah** | Former Foreign Minister | Expelled from Bersatu |
| **Hadi Awang** | PAS President | Key figure in PN leadership discussions |
| **Ahmad Samsuri Mokhtar** | Terengganu MB | Potential PN chair candidate |
| **Hamzah Zainudin** | Bersatu Secretary-General | His faction being targeted in party purge |
| **Tun Dr Mahathir** | Former PM | Hospitalized with fractured hip |
| **Anwar Ibrahim** | Prime Minister | PM term limit reform; visited Turkiye |
| **Asyraf Wajdi Dusuki** | UMNO Secretary-General | Confirming no Akmal resignation letter received |

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## Deep Dive: Akmal's Connections with PAS & Bersatu

### Background: The Muafakat Nasional Revival Proposal

UMNO Youth Chief Dr Akmal Saleh's call for UMNO to leave the unity government is tied to his proposal to **revive Muafakat Nasional** - the UMNO-PAS political pact that existed before GE15. His key argument: "If Umno and PAS unite, I believe the Malays will once again be brought together."

At the UMNO Youth special convention on 3 January, Akmal asked: *"Do we want to remain in a government that fails to respect Islam and the Malay Rulers?"*

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### PAS Response: Welcoming but Conditional

#### Official PAS Position
**PAS Information Chief Ahmad Fadhli Shaari** welcomed Akmal's proposal, stating that **Muafakat Nasional could be relaunched immediately** - but only after UMNO and BN leave the unity government first.

**PAS President Hadi Awang** stated:
> "The relationship with Bersatu and Umno is still good. Yes, god willing, we want to unite Malays, Muslims and non-Muslims who are not extreme."

#### PAS Pahang's Enthusiastic Endorsement
PAS Pahang explicitly praised Akmal's courage:
> "Kami mengalu-alukan sikap Ketua Pemuda UMNO, Dr Muhamad Akmal Saleh yang terus berjuang untuk penyatuan ummah meskipun dikritik."

They also criticized UMNO's leadership:
> "Malangnya, kepimpinan tertinggi UMNO masih memuji DAP walaupun ahli sendiri sudah 'pening lalat' dengan sikap mereka."

#### The Precondition
PAS's welcome comes with a **key precondition**: UMNO must leave the unity government first. PAS will not make the first move or commit to anything concrete until UMNO acts.

**Key Headlines:**
- [PAS-Bersatu ties strong, says Hadi, as calls for Muafakat Nasional revival grow](https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2026/01/02/pas-bersatu-ties-strong-says-hadi-as-calls-for-muafakat-nasional-revival-grow) (2 Jan)
- [Politik bukan medan kuasa sempit - Pas Pahang](https://www.sinarharian.com.my/article/763483/berita/politik/politik-bukan-medan-kuasa-sempit---pas-pahang) (10 Jan)

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### Bersatu Response: Strategic Silence

#### Muafakat Nasional Chairman's Non-Answer
**Tan Sri Annuar Musa** (Muafakat Nasional chairman) gave a deliberately vague response:
> "Matters between PAS and Bersatu are progressing well... there is no need for too many comments at the moment."

#### The "UMNO Out, Bersatu In?" Scenario
Analysts are speculating about a potential **swap scenario** - if UMNO leaves the unity government, Bersatu might take its place:

> "The opportunity to join the government before the next general election is an offer no party can refuse, including Bersatu."

This is significant because Bersatu is currently weakened:
- Internal purge (Saifuddin expelled, division chiefs disciplined)
- Muhyiddin stepping down as PN chair
- Lost the Perlis crisis battle with PAS
- Joining the unity government could be their **survival strategy**

**Key Headlines:**
- [After Akmal's call, will it be Umno out, Bersatu in?](https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/opinion/2026/01/05/after-akmals-call-will-it-be-umno-out-bersatu-in) (5 Jan)
- [Umno keluar, Bersatu sertai kerajaan Madani?](https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/bahasa/pandangan/2026/01/05/umno-keluar-bersatu-sertai-kerajaan-madani) (5 Jan)

---

### UMNO Internal Opposition to PAS Alliance

#### Puad Zarkashi's Strong Objection
UMNO MKT member **Puad Zarkashi** vowed to be the first to object if UMNO-PAS unity is discussed:
> "PAS ada penyakit politik yang sukar disembuhkan. Mereka suka 'berkahwin dan bercerai' dalam politik, cepat berkahwin, tetapi cepat juga bercerai."
> *(PAS has a political disease that's hard to cure. They like to 'marry and divorce' in politics - quick to marry, but quick to divorce too.)*

He warned that PAS has a history of using partners then abandoning them.

#### The "Barua PAS" Accusation
Some UMNO loyalists openly accuse Akmal of being a **"barua PAS"** (PAS stooge), suggesting he's doing PAS's bidding to destabilize UMNO from within.

**Key Headlines:**
- [Alliance with PAS a bad idea, says Umno Supreme Council member](https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/nation/2026/01/09/alliance-with-pas-a-bad-idea-says-umno-supreme-council-member) (9 Jan)
- ['PAS suka kahwin cerai', Puad bantah jika Umno bincang penyatuan](https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/bahasa/tempatan/2026/01/09/pas-suka-kahwin-cerai-puad-bantah-jika-umno-bincang-penyatuan) (9 Jan)
- [Leaving unity govt will weaken Umno, Akmal told](https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/nation/2026/01/04/leaving-unity-govt-will-weaken-umno-akmal-told) (4 Jan)

---

### Analysis: Who Benefits?

| Party | Position | Strategic Interest |
|-------|----------|-------------------|
| **PAS** | Welcomes Akmal | Wants UMNO's rural Malay vote bank; weakens unity govt without committing |
| **Bersatu** | Silent/Opportunistic | May flip to unity govt if UMNO leaves; in survival mode |
| **UMNO (Zahid)** | Firmly rejects | Staying in government = power, positions, party survival |
| **Akmal** | Isolated | Senior UMNO rejects him; PAS welcomes but won't commit first |

### Key Finding: No Direct Coordination

Based on news analysis, **there is no evidence of direct meetings or coordination between Akmal and PAS/Bersatu leaders**. His push appears to be:
- A public call for unity, not a coordinated plot
- Driven by his personal/youth wing position rather than formal party channels
- Potentially being exploited by PAS as a destabilization tool

### Historical Context: Why Muafakat Failed Before

Muafakat Nasional was formed over six years ago to consolidate the Malay-Muslim vote when UMNO and PAS were both in opposition. The pact collapsed when:
- PAS formed Perikatan Nasional with Bersatu
- PAS insisted Bersatu be included in Muafakat Nasional
- UMNO opposed Bersatu's inclusion
- The parties ended up on opposite sides after GE15

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## Deep Dive: Is Akmal Genuine? What Will Happen at PAU?

### The Key Question: Grassroots Zeitgeist or Ulterior Motives?

An important observation: Akmal's push for UMNO to leave the unity government is **disconnected from the Najib pardon and Zahid NFA narratives**. His framing is ideological ("penyatuan agama, bangsa") rather than transactional (protecting leaders from prosecution). This suggests he may be more genuine than critics claim.

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### Arguments FOR Akmal Being Genuine

1. **Ideological framing, not transactional**
   - Talking about "penyatuan agama, bangsa" (unity of religion and race)
   - Not about Najib's pardon or protecting anyone from prosecution
   - Narrative is disconnected from UMNO's legal baggage

2. **Claims grassroots mandate**
   > "Suara akar umbi yang disalurkan melalui cawangan dan bahagian parti"

   He argues divisions arise from "leadership unwilling to open its heart" - implying the top is out of touch with the base.

3. **Willing to sacrifice position**
   - Hinted at resignation (even if analysts call it a "gimmick")
   - Said "Siapalah kita tanpa rakyat" (What are we without the people)

4. **Real Malay anxiety exists**
   - The 3R rhetoric (race, religion, royalty being "insulted") resonates with a segment
   - UMNO's identity crisis in the unity government is real
   - Many members feel they're "DAP's lapdog"

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### Arguments AGAINST (Personal Ambition)

Analysts are skeptical:

| Analyst | Assessment |
|---------|------------|
| **Lau Zhe Wei** (Senior Political Analyst) | "Quite clear he is making these statements to serve his own political agenda" |
| **James Chin** (University of Tasmania) | Resignation hint is a "political gimmick" - he won't quit because he'd lose his Melaka exco post |
| **Awang Azman Pawi** (Assoc. Professor) | Leaving unity govt is "almost impossible to implement" |

**Key point**: Akmal holds **no Cabinet position**. Some see his push as positioning for future leadership.

**Sources:**
- [Akmal's push driven by personal ambition, analysts warn](https://www.scoop.my/news/278662/akmals-umno-pas-push-driven-by-personal-ambition-risks-weakening-party-unity-analysts-warn/)
- [Akmal's resignation hint just a political gimmick](https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/nation/2026/01/08/akmals-resignation-hint-just-a-political-gimmick-say-analysts)

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### The Grassroots Reality Check: What PAU Numbers Show

| Metric | Data |
|--------|------|
| Total delegates registered | 6,412 |
| Total motions submitted | 662 |
| Motions on **Najib pardon** | 104 bahagian (most popular) |
| Motions on **leaving unity govt** | **ZERO** |
| Motions on **PAS cooperation** | **ZERO** |

**This is significant.** If grassroots truly wanted out of the unity government, the motions would reflect it. The **Najib pardon** is what bahagian actually care about - not Akmal's Malay unity crusade.

#### Counter-Voice from Grassroots

Wan Mahussin Wan Zain (Jeli UMNO Youth Information Chief) directly challenged Akmal:

> "Our votes overlap with PAS supporters... we lost Pahang, we lost Perak [when allied with PAS]. It's not impossible we could lose even more seats."

He warns if UMNO leaves, **PAS might just take their spot in the unity government anyway** - leaving UMNO with nothing.

**Source:** [Grassroots UMNO Youth questions Akmal's push](https://www.thevibes.com/articles/news/117782/grassroots-umno-youth-questions-party-chiefs-push-to-exit-unity-government-and-revive-pas-alliance)

---

### PAU 2025 Scenarios: What Will Happen (14-17 January)

#### Scenario 1: Akmal Backs Down (Most Likely - 70%)

- **No formal motions** support his position
- Zahid has firmly said NO
- Akmal announces he'll "continue fighting from within"
- Face-saving rhetoric: "I've raised the voice of the grassroots, now we move forward united"
- **He keeps his positions** (Youth chief, Melaka exco)

#### Scenario 2: Akmal Goes Nuclear (20%)

- Resigns as Youth chief at PAU podium
- Makes dramatic speech about "betrayed principles"
- **But stays in UMNO** (anti-hopping law traps him)
- Becomes internal opposition/voice of dissent
- Sets himself up as "the principled one" for future leadership contest

#### Scenario 3: Actual Party Split (10%)

- Akmal's speech ignites unexpected delegate revolt
- Multiple state Youth wings back him publicly
- Zahid forced to negotiate or face open rebellion
- **Unlikely** because: no motion support, Zahid controls party machinery

---

### Assessment: 60% Genuine, 40% Ambitious

Akmal is likely **both genuine AND ambitious** - the two aren't mutually exclusive. He's tapping into real anxieties while also positioning himself.

**The underlying sentiment IS real:**
- UMNO's identity crisis in the unity government is genuine
- Many Malays DO feel the 3R anxieties he articulates
- The DAP-UMNO tension at grassroots level is real
- UMNO members watching Zahid's NFA while Najib remains in prison creates cognitive dissonance

**But his proposed solution is problematic:**
- Muafakat failed before for structural reasons (ego, seats, culture clash)
- PAS is currently **stronger** than UMNO among Malays - UMNO would be junior partner
- Leaving government = losing patronage = party death spiral

---

### Prediction: What Will Actually Happen

1. **PAU will be noisy but Zahid will maintain control**
2. **Akmal will make a dramatic speech but NOT resign**
3. **Najib pardon issue will dominate**, not Malay unity
4. **UMNO stays in unity government**
5. **Akmal lives to fight another day**, building his "man of principle" brand for GE16/post-Zahid era

**The real test** isn't PAU - it's **GE16**. If UMNO performs badly, Akmal's narrative gains legitimacy. If they hold seats, Zahid is vindicated.

**Key Sources:**
- [UMNO will remain part of Unity govt until GE16: Zahid](https://www.scoop.my/news/278761/umno-will-remain-part-of-unity-govt-until-ge16-zahid/)
- [PAU 2025: Umno tak halang bangkit isu keluar kerajaan](https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/bahasa/tempatan/2026/01/09/pau-2025-umno-tak-halang-bangkit-isu-keluar-kerajaan-kerjasama-pas)
- [Terima hakikat sukar Umno keluar kerajaan, Akmal diberitahu](https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/bahasa/tempatan/2026/01/07/terima-hakikat-sukar-umno-keluar-kerajaan-akmal-diberitahu)

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*Report generated from Malaysian News Summary database on 10 January 2026*